Re: America
Posted: Thu Jun 11, 2020 8:45 am
Maybe provide a source?
Scroll back a page or 2 and it's from a Twitter feed Donny posted by someone trying to defend the police by saying racism isn't a problem because reasons. And you should believe me because I'm a minority. Oh, and I know this is unpopular, but...canta_brian wrote:Maybe provide a source?
The last time I saw a breakdown on stats there were possibly a worrying number of people assigned to a group called unknown, at least my best recollection is it was called unknown. And it seems like there shouldn't be so many dead people they can't even assign a race to, unless maybe they think it's a polite term for mixed race, which I suppose would be one way to reduce the figures for crimes against the black population. I don't discount levels of ineptness such they kill people and then lose the body before there's an autopsy, and even don't make any basic collection of evidence to assign a race after they have lost the body.Stom wrote:They are the most cherrypicked stats in the history of cherrypicking.Donny osmond wrote:Don't know how accurate these areDigby wrote:
Homicides involving the police are stupidly high in the USA, indeed there's simply far too much brutality from the police in the USA. And one of the things which might come out of this is for a number of people to reconsider what they expect from a public service intended to keep them safe, even if they are a white racist because they shouldn't be assuming the police are no threat to them, the numbers don't suggest anyone can assume they're safe when interacting with the police. No question it's a disproportionate outcome, and that one would hope will be more fully addressed finally, but we'd be skirting over the grief of a lot of white families to suggest white privilege will protect you from the police
Sent from my CPH1951 using TapatalkFor every 10, 000 black people arrested for violent crime, 3 are killed by the police.
For every 10, 000 white people arrested for violent crime, 4 are killed by the police.
In 2019, 49 unarmed people were killed by the police. 9 were black. 19 were white.
The likelihood for a black person being shot by the police is as high as being struck by lightning.
And if 49 unarmed people are killed by the police, and 28 were white or black, that means Hispanics and Asians are in serious danger!
We did not find evidence for anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparity in police use of force across all shootings, and, if anything, found anti-White disparities when controlling for race-specific crime. While racial disparity did vary by type of shooting, no one type of shooting showed significant anti-Black or -Hispanic disparity. The uncertainty around these estimates highlights the need for more data before drawing conclusions about disparities in specific types of shootings.
Hahaha sure Stom, you know it better than a man who has been persecuted his whole life for the colour of his skin, a man who's lived experience gives him a first hand in depth understanding of the link between prejudice and violence; well done, it's not everyday someone falls over themselves to fit a stereotype quite so successfully.Stom wrote:Scroll back a page or 2 and it's from a Twitter feed Donny posted by someone trying to defend the police by saying racism isn't a problem because reasons. And you should believe me because I'm a minority. Oh, and I know this is unpopular, but...canta_brian wrote:Maybe provide a source?
Strong medicine.Puja wrote:That is a horrible thing to suggest to anyone.Son of Mathonwy wrote:Take one good look at our PM
Puja
Theresa MaySon of Mathonwy wrote:Take one good look at our PM and repeat that.Sandydragon wrote:Which makes bleating in about class seem a bit antiquated.
And if that isn't convincing, try this:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-52982440
or this:
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clas ... -stagnates
Cool. Out of how many?Sandydragon wrote:Theresa MaySon of Mathonwy wrote:Take one good look at our PM and repeat that.Sandydragon wrote:Which makes bleating in about class seem a bit antiquated.
And if that isn't convincing, try this:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-52982440
or this:
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clas ... -stagnates
John Major
Both from very humble backgrounds who made it to the top. Both grammar school kids.
Off the top of my head-Puja wrote:Cool. Out of how many?Sandydragon wrote:Theresa MaySon of Mathonwy wrote: Take one good look at our PM and repeat that.
And if that isn't convincing, try this:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-52982440
or this:
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/clas ... -stagnates
John Major
Both from very humble backgrounds who made it to the top. Both grammar school kids.
Puja
Sandydragon wrote:And another:
https://www.pnas.org/content/116/32/15877
We did not find evidence for anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparity in police use of force across all shootings, and, if anything, found anti-White disparities when controlling for race-specific crime. While racial disparity did vary by type of shooting, no one type of shooting showed significant anti-Black or -Hispanic disparity. The uncertainty around these estimates highlights the need for more data before drawing conclusions about disparities in specific types of shootings.
morepork wrote:Sandydragon wrote:And another:
https://www.pnas.org/content/116/32/15877
We did not find evidence for anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparity in police use of force across all shootings, and, if anything, found anti-White disparities when controlling for race-specific crime. While racial disparity did vary by type of shooting, no one type of shooting showed significant anti-Black or -Hispanic disparity. The uncertainty around these estimates highlights the need for more data before drawing conclusions about disparities in specific types of shootings.
I'm curious as to why you didn't read the methodology or the correction added post-acceptance for publication. They modeled ethnicity, they didn't sample it:
https://www.pnas.org/content/117/16/9127
PSYCHOLOGICAL AND COGNITIVE SCIENCES Correction for “Officer characteristics and racial disparities in fatal officer-involved shootings,” by David J. Johnson, Trevor Tress, Nicole Burkel, Carley Taylor, and Joseph Cesario, which was first published July 22, 2019; 10.1073/pnas.1903856116 (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 116, 15877–15882).
The authors wish to note the following: “Recently, we published a report showing that, among civilians fatally shot, officer race did not predict civilian race and there was no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparities (1). Specifically, we estimated the probability that a civilian was Black, Hispanic, or White given that a person was fatally shot and some covariates. The dataset contains only information about individuals fatally shot by police, and the race of the individual is predicted by a set of variables. Thus, we compute Pr(race|shot, X) where X is a set of variables including officer race.
“Although we were clear about the quantity we estimated and provide justification for calculating Pr(race|shot, X) in our report (see also 2, 3), we want to correct a sentence in our significance statement that has been quoted by others stating ‘White officers are not more likely to shoot minority civilians than non-White officers.’ This sentence refers to estimating Pr(shot|race, X). As we estimated Pr(race|shot, X), this sentence should read: ‘As the proportion of White officers in a fatal officer-involved shooting increased, a person fatally shot was not more likely to be of a racial minority.’ This is consistent with our framing of the results in the abstract and main text.
“We appreciate the feedback that led us to clarify this sentence (4). To be clear, this issue does not invalidate the findings with regards to Pr(race|shot, X) discussed in the report.”
And I'm calling bullshit on the Philly thing. That is not what is happening on the ground. Philadelphia has a history of covering up for police brutality. e.g. bombing a residential neighbourhood during a standoff with MOVE and holding back the fire department to let them burn.
Sorry mate, but you are all kinds of wrong here. The cops are rotten at their core.
Sandydragon wrote:morepork wrote:
I'm curious as to why you didn't read the methodology or the correction added post-acceptance for publication. They modeled ethnicity, they didn't sample it:
https://www.pnas.org/content/117/16/9127
PSYCHOLOGICAL AND COGNITIVE SCIENCES Correction for “Officer characteristics and racial disparities in fatal officer-involved shootings,” by David J. Johnson, Trevor Tress, Nicole Burkel, Carley Taylor, and Joseph Cesario, which was first published July 22, 2019; 10.1073/pnas.1903856116 (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 116, 15877–15882).
The authors wish to note the following: “Recently, we published a report showing that, among civilians fatally shot, officer race did not predict civilian race and there was no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparities (1). Specifically, we estimated the probability that a civilian was Black, Hispanic, or White given that a person was fatally shot and some covariates. The dataset contains only information about individuals fatally shot by police, and the race of the individual is predicted by a set of variables. Thus, we compute Pr(race|shot, X) where X is a set of variables including officer race.
“Although we were clear about the quantity we estimated and provide justification for calculating Pr(race|shot, X) in our report (see also 2, 3), we want to correct a sentence in our significance statement that has been quoted by others stating ‘White officers are not more likely to shoot minority civilians than non-White officers.’ This sentence refers to estimating Pr(shot|race, X). As we estimated Pr(race|shot, X), this sentence should read: ‘As the proportion of White officers in a fatal officer-involved shooting increased, a person fatally shot was not more likely to be of a racial minority.’ This is consistent with our framing of the results in the abstract and main text.
“We appreciate the feedback that led us to clarify this sentence (4). To be clear, this issue does not invalidate the findings with regards to Pr(race|shot, X) discussed in the report.”
And I'm calling bullshit on the Philly thing. That is not what is happening on the ground. Philadelphia has a history of covering up for police brutality. e.g. bombing a residential neighbourhood during a standoff with MOVE and holding back the fire department to let them burn.
Sorry mate, but you are all kinds of wrong here. The cops are rotten at their core.
Feel free to provide additional research, considering the nature of the topic, theres not that much of it. And in terms of balance, one of the report I linked below is more critical of the police.
The Philadelphia MOVE bombing was when exactly? Mid 1980s? I'd suggest that isn't an accurate representation of modern reality. You point out the methodology in research when it suits you but jus try bullshit when you don't like the content of another report. Thats double standards. Is there an alternative report you can cite regarding Philadelphia?
Donny, there are certain tactics used to "win" an argument. They're generally used by people who don't want to upset the apple cart for some reason. People have many reasons for this and that's fine.Donny osmond wrote:Hahaha sure Stom, you know it better than a man who has been persecuted his whole life for the colour of his skin, a man who's lived experience gives him a first hand in depth understanding of the link between prejudice and violence; well done, it's not everyday someone falls over themselves to fit a stereotype quite so successfully.Stom wrote:Scroll back a page or 2 and it's from a Twitter feed Donny posted by someone trying to defend the police by saying racism isn't a problem because reasons. And you should believe me because I'm a minority. Oh, and I know this is unpopular, but...canta_brian wrote:Maybe provide a source?
If you're going to give out about cherry picking, maybe try and read an entire post before commenting on it?
Sent from my CPH1951 using Tapatalk
Depends on how far back you go. Ramsey MacDOnald was the PM from the most deprived background. Not a lot of point going back ot the 19th century or even before WWI IMO as the UK was very different.Banquo wrote:Off the top of my head-Puja wrote:Cool. Out of how many?Sandydragon wrote:
Theresa May
John Major
Both from very humble backgrounds who made it to the top. Both grammar school kids.
Puja
Gordon Brown
Margaret Thatcher
Jim Callaghan
Ted Heath
Harold Wilson
Oddly Clem Atlee went to Haileybury.
Reliably not used on hereStom wrote: there are certain tactics used to "win" an argument.
Surprised anyone seriously wanted to contend this, but here goes:Banquo wrote:Off the top of my head-Puja wrote:Cool. Out of how many?Sandydragon wrote:
Theresa May
John Major
Both from very humble backgrounds who made it to the top. Both grammar school kids.
Puja
Gordon Brown
Margaret Thatcher
Jim Callaghan
Ted Heath
Harold Wilson
Oddly Clem Atlee went to Haileybury.
He wanted examples, He got them. I made no contention. Since the second world war the story is much more about mobility with (39 years out of 75, and since the 60's even better- with Blair spoiling it allSon of Mathonwy wrote:Surprised anyone seriously wanted to contend this, but here goes:Banquo wrote:Off the top of my head-Puja wrote:
Cool. Out of how many?
Puja
Gordon Brown
Margaret Thatcher
Jim Callaghan
Ted Heath
Harold Wilson
Oddly Clem Atlee went to Haileybury.
Prime ministers since 1900, with school, type of school, number of years as PM:
Robert Gascoyne-Cecil, Eton College, Private School, 2 years
Arthur Balfour, Eton College, Private School, 3 years
Henry Campbell-Bannerman, High School of Glasgow, Private School, 3 years
H. H. Asquith, City of London School, Private School, 8 years
David Lloyd George, Llanystumdwy National School, Local School, 6 years
Bonar Law, High School of Glasgow, Private School, 1 year
Stanley Baldwin, Harrow School, Private School, 7 years
Ramsay MacDonald, Drainie Parish School, Local School, 7 years
Neville Chamberlain, Rugby School, Private School, 3 years
Winston Churchill, Harrow School, Private School, 9 years
Clement Attlee, Haileybury College, Private School, 6 years
Anthony Eden, Eton College, Private School, 2 years
Harold Macmillan, Eton College, Private School, 6 years
Alec Douglas-Home, Eton College, Private School, 1 year
Harold Wilson, Royds Hall Grammar School, Grammar School, 8 years
Edward Heath, Chatham House Grammar School, Grammar School, 4 years
James Callaghan, Northern Secondary School, Portsmouth, Grammar School, 3 years
Margaret Thatcher, Kesteven and Grantham Girls' School, Grammar School, 11 years
John Major, Rutlish School, Grammar School, 7 years
Tony Blair, Fettes College, Private School, 10 years
Gordon Brown, Kirkcaldy High School, Grammar School/Selective High School, 3 years
David Cameron, Eton College, Private School, 6 years
Theresa May, Holton Park Girls' Grammar School, Grammar School, 3 years
Boris Johnson, Eton College, Private School, 1 year
In summary:
Private Schools: 15 PMs over 68 years, ie 56.7% of the time
Grammar Schools: 8 PMs over 39 years, ie 32.5% of the time
Non-selective Schools: 2 PMs over 13 years, ie 10.8% of the time
And this is for a country where the educational split of children is:
Private Schools: 7%
Grammar Schools: 5%
Non-selective Schools: 88%
Can anyone look at this and claim there is no class problem in this country?
Is that last sentence supposed to be sarcastic?Sandydragon wrote:No one from a normal comprehensive (including Brown who was on a different programme) has made it to PM, despite the fact that children from those schools are now of an age where you would expect them to be making an impression.
Its not about class bias, it's all about education.
Partially. We used to take bright children and put them into grammar schools where they would be expected to succeed. Now we keep them in with the less academic and expect far less.canta_brian wrote:Is that last sentence supposed to be sarcastic?Sandydragon wrote:No one from a normal comprehensive (including Brown who was on a different programme) has made it to PM, despite the fact that children from those schools are now of an age where you would expect them to be making an impression.
Its not about class bias, it's all about education.