It may be that more scandalous things are happening.


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How do you know there is "no room for actual experts"? Has that been stated somewhere?canta_brian wrote:Dominic Cummings and Ben Warner, a vote leave data cruncher, have been attending SAGE. No Chief Medical Officer of Scotland, or of Wales or NI. Nobody who is a Director of Public Health anywhere in the UK.
So no room for actual experts, but room for people with no scientific training. The idea that our politicians have been making policy on the interpretations of the data from Cummings rather than the actual data from medical professionals is a scandal.
There have been experts involved in Sage all along. And it’s not unreasonable that the PMs advisor should attend.Donny osmond wrote:How do you know there is "no room for actual experts"? Has that been stated somewhere?canta_brian wrote:Dominic Cummings and Ben Warner, a vote leave data cruncher, have been attending SAGE. No Chief Medical Officer of Scotland, or of Wales or NI. Nobody who is a Director of Public Health anywhere in the UK.
So no room for actual experts, but room for people with no scientific training. The idea that our politicians have been making policy on the interpretations of the data from Cummings rather than the actual data from medical professionals is a scandal.
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Yes the failure to prepare properly when this first hit the headlines. As I’ve pointed out in this thread if you care to look.Son of Mathonwy wrote:Sandy, seriously is there anything you'd hold this government to account for? It is entirely the fault of government that they promised this consignment would arrive on Sunday. And then again on Monday. No one forced them to promise a particular amount on a particular day. They could easily have given an honest answer, which is we have an order for X, which we expect to arrive in the next few days.Sandydragon wrote:Or, does anyone have a good news story that we can use to show that we are in top of this crisis because the fucking media are pressing us daily?Digby wrote:
It's part an illustration of how hard it is to order supplies and part they're wanting to look good and counting their chickens before they're hatched. We will need to look at our redundancy plans around sourcing materials, manufacture and storage/distribution of PPE as it's clearly shite, and I've got a feeling this is a known thing which has been outstanding for over a decade, though successive governments haven't spent time/money on the issue and they've all assumed they'd not need redundancy coverage for a global crisis
Yep, we’ve just placed an order for 400000 PPEitems arriving Sundaynfrom Turkey.
Great we’ll mention that.
Anyone in their right mind knows that supply chains are fragile at the moment so it might be delayed but as soon as it’s mentioned in a press briefing it has to be delivered on time or else, even if not the governments fault.
The media helps to drive this and something that is pretty straight down the line is suddenly distorted into a spin operations with Laura From the BBC suddenly making comments on it. We have al lost our sense of proportion.
So no, I don’t think the government set out to spin this one. They perhaps should have qualified the statement a little but that would have been torn apart as well so frankly you can’t win.
Yes, this is not in itself the worst thing the government has done, by a long way, but please don't blame this one on the media.
I'm interested in the concept of them promising delivery on a certain date... did they actually say that? How did they tell us, did they say we guarantee? We promise? What was the wording they used to say a shipment was expected by a certain date?Sandydragon wrote:Yes the failure to prepare properly when this first hit the headlines. As I’ve pointed out in this thread if you care to look.Son of Mathonwy wrote:Sandy, seriously is there anything you'd hold this government to account for? It is entirely the fault of government that they promised this consignment would arrive on Sunday. And then again on Monday. No one forced them to promise a particular amount on a particular day. They could easily have given an honest answer, which is we have an order for X, which we expect to arrive in the next few days.Sandydragon wrote: Or, does anyone have a good news story that we can use to show that we are in top of this crisis because the fucking media are pressing us daily?
Yep, we’ve just placed an order for 400000 PPEitems arriving Sundaynfrom Turkey.
Great we’ll mention that.
Anyone in their right mind knows that supply chains are fragile at the moment so it might be delayed but as soon as it’s mentioned in a press briefing it has to be delivered on time or else, even if not the governments fault.
The media helps to drive this and something that is pretty straight down the line is suddenly distorted into a spin operations with Laura From the BBC suddenly making comments on it. We have al lost our sense of proportion.
So no, I don’t think the government set out to spin this one. They perhaps should have qualified the statement a little but that would have been torn apart as well so frankly you can’t win.
Yes, this is not in itself the worst thing the government has done, by a long way, but please don't blame this one on the media.
Where I’m more sympathetic is where the media is whipping up excitement over operational issues like this where the government is trying to do the right thing but was let down because of reasons outside of its control.
You can’t tell the press that you think the shipment is due for Sunday, they will have a field day speculating on why you can’t give a solid answer. Reality is that the media expect the undeliverable most of the time and the politicians don’t give a straight answer because of it.
On this occasion we got let down by a Turkish supplier. It happens.
If it’s important to have confidence in the government at this time does the press have a responsibility to probe the real issues and not make hay with that which is outside the governments control?Son of Mathonwy wrote:OK, I can't say it more clearly. We'll just have to disagree on that point.Mellsblue wrote:‘Precisely true’....if you say so.Son of Mathonwy wrote: No. It is precisely true. No one forced them to promise it. They could have given the answer anyone else would have when a delivery is due - we have an order and the expected date of delivery is X, or we expect it to arrive in the next few days.
The country may need good news, but it doesn't need false hope. How much good does it do, to reduce the people's confidence in their government's ability to achieve vital things, if they fail in such a visible way? It was totally unnecessary. I blame the media for many things, but not for this. You say the supplier was full of BS. Maybe, but this "nudge" has left people with the impression that the government is full of BS.
So, related points: Do you think it was wise to promise something they couldn't deliver? Do you think this broken promise has reduced public confidence in the government? Do you think it's good for the public to have reduced confidence in their government at this time?
Jenrick made the following statement:Donny osmond wrote:I'm interested in the concept of them promising delivery on a certain date... did they actually say that? How did they tell us, did they say we guarantee? We promise? What was the wording they used to say a shipment was expected by a certain date?Sandydragon wrote:Yes the failure to prepare properly when this first hit the headlines. As I’ve pointed out in this thread if you care to look.Son of Mathonwy wrote: Sandy, seriously is there anything you'd hold this government to account for? It is entirely the fault of government that they promised this consignment would arrive on Sunday. And then again on Monday. No one forced them to promise a particular amount on a particular day. They could easily have given an honest answer, which is we have an order for X, which we expect to arrive in the next few days.
Yes, this is not in itself the worst thing the government has done, by a long way, but please don't blame this one on the media.
Where I’m more sympathetic is where the media is whipping up excitement over operational issues like this where the government is trying to do the right thing but was let down because of reasons outside of its control.
You can’t tell the press that you think the shipment is due for Sunday, they will have a field day speculating on why you can’t give a solid answer. Reality is that the media expect the undeliverable most of the time and the politicians don’t give a straight answer because of it.
On this occasion we got let down by a Turkish supplier. It happens.
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Cheers, I thought as much. Not a promise at all, just a conveyance of what they have been told by the suppliers. So SoM is upset about a broken promise that was never made anywhere except in his head.Sandydragon wrote:Jenrick made the following statement:Donny osmond wrote:I'm interested in the concept of them promising delivery on a certain date... did they actually say that? How did they tell us, did they say we guarantee? We promise? What was the wording they used to say a shipment was expected by a certain date?Sandydragon wrote:
Yes the failure to prepare properly when this first hit the headlines. As I’ve pointed out in this thread if you care to look.
Where I’m more sympathetic is where the media is whipping up excitement over operational issues like this where the government is trying to do the right thing but was let down because of reasons outside of its control.
You can’t tell the press that you think the shipment is due for Sunday, they will have a field day speculating on why you can’t give a solid answer. Reality is that the media expect the undeliverable most of the time and the politicians don’t give a straight answer because of it.
On this occasion we got let down by a Turkish supplier. It happens.
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'Today I can report that a very large consignment of PPE is due to arrive in the UK tomorrow from Turkey, which amounts to 84 tonnes of PPE and will include for example, 400,000 gowns - so a very significant additional shipment.
What is the make up of SAGE for this pandemic then? I genuinely don't know, other than I think Whitty chairs it (he has done for most of the previous SAGE gatherings before this) . He appears to have a modicum of scientific training as an aside.canta_brian wrote:Dominic Cummings and Ben Warner, a vote leave data cruncher, have been attending SAGE. No Chief Medical Officer of Scotland, or of Wales or NI. Nobody who is a Director of Public Health anywhere in the UK.
So no room for actual experts, but room for people with no scientific training. The idea that our politicians have been making policy on the interpretations of the data from Cummings rather than the actual data from medical professionals is a scandal.
It’s another non story. Membership for some reason is published, except for the chairman. The government website does state that it’s made up of relevant scientific experts. I assume that may change depending on the subject matter.Banquo wrote:What is the make up of SAGE for this pandemic then? I genuinely don't know, other than I think Whitty chairs it (he has done for most of the previous SAGE gatherings before this) . He appears to have a modicum of scientific training as an aside.canta_brian wrote:Dominic Cummings and Ben Warner, a vote leave data cruncher, have been attending SAGE. No Chief Medical Officer of Scotland, or of Wales or NI. Nobody who is a Director of Public Health anywhere in the UK.
So no room for actual experts, but room for people with no scientific training. The idea that our politicians have been making policy on the interpretations of the data from Cummings rather than the actual data from medical professionals is a scandal.
You're now dead to me!Sandydragon wrote: must include other factors which are not strictly scientific, such as economics.
This is the unhealthy relationship between politicians and the media. The latter assume the former are always lying to them (with good reason) whilst the former are constantly trying to sell news ina competitive market and want a front page that sells.Digby wrote:It would help as a further aside if the media wouldn't always try to ramp up stories and/or use sensationalist headlines, but it'd help too if people in or speaking for a government wouldn't say public confidence in the media has collapsed during this emergency
I believe the minutes are published. I’ve read some, somewhere, and I’m sure it was SAGE.Digby wrote:You're now dead to me!Sandydragon wrote: must include other factors which are not strictly scientific, such as economics.
Are SAGE meetings normally published, and are they now as an aside? If not the full minutes then a reasonably detailed synopsis.
I had in mind they were published but had heard, possibly incorrectly, they weren't being presently. Of course this might just mean they're always published with some established delay to allow for debateMellsblue wrote:I believe the minutes are published. I’ve read some, somewhere, and I’m sure it was SAGE.Digby wrote:You're now dead to me!Sandydragon wrote: must include other factors which are not strictly scientific, such as economics.
Are SAGE meetings normally published, and are they now as an aside? If not the full minutes then a reasonably detailed synopsis.
If you look on the govt website, all is revealedMellsblue wrote:I believe the minutes are published. I’ve read some, somewhere, and I’m sure it was SAGE.Digby wrote:You're now dead to me!Sandydragon wrote: must include other factors which are not strictly scientific, such as economics.
Are SAGE meetings normally published, and are they now as an aside? If not the full minutes then a reasonably detailed synopsis.
Some discussions need to be in private. You can’t have an honest debate if every word will be in the media the day afterwards.Banquo wrote:If you look on the govt website, all is revealedMellsblue wrote:I believe the minutes are published. I’ve read some, somewhere, and I’m sure it was SAGE.Digby wrote:
You're now dead to me!
Are SAGE meetings normally published, and are they now as an aside? If not the full minutes then a reasonably detailed synopsis.. Though I think they publish minute some time after the event (s). There will be things that they likely don't want published- for example, the no lockdown scenario of 500k ++ deaths. I keep hearing things like we should trust the public ( e.g.not to panic) but I'm not sure trusting the general public to behave sensibly has had much success in recent years!
Well done finding the quote - I hadn't been able to find the exact words.Sandydragon wrote:Jenrick made the following statement:
'Today I can report that a very large consignment of PPE is due to arrive in the UK tomorrow from Turkey, which amounts to 84 tonnes of PPE and will include for example, 400,000 gowns - so a very significant additional shipment.
It took a long while to find that; almost all of the coverage is basically outrage.Son of Mathonwy wrote:Well done finding the quote - I hadn't been able to find the exact words.Sandydragon wrote:Jenrick made the following statement:
'Today I can report that a very large consignment of PPE is due to arrive in the UK tomorrow from Turkey, which amounts to 84 tonnes of PPE and will include for example, 400,000 gowns - so a very significant additional shipment.
Agreed then - there was no promise, so no overpromising. The media took this one too far.
The Mail was particularly bad, turning the quote into this:Sandydragon wrote:It took a long while to find that; almost all of the coverage is basically outrage.Son of Mathonwy wrote:Well done finding the quote - I hadn't been able to find the exact words.Sandydragon wrote:Jenrick made the following statement:
'Today I can report that a very large consignment of PPE is due to arrive in the UK tomorrow from Turkey, which amounts to 84 tonnes of PPE and will include for example, 400,000 gowns - so a very significant additional shipment.
Agreed then - there was no promise, so no overpromising. The media took this one too far.
Looks like they have shifted target now onto Dominic Cummings who is an easily hat able figure at the best of times.
A 'very large consignment' of PPE - including 400,000 gowns - will arrive in the UK from Turkey today, Housing Secretary Robert Jenrick announced at Saturday's government briefing
I think the issue is that if government policy is to”be led by the science” there should not be a political adviser contributing to sage. By all means take the scientific advice from sage and make political decisions based on (including ignoring) that advice, but don’t try and inject the policy into the advice in the first place.Sandydragon wrote:And just to follow up on my last post, SAGE is reporting into COBRA for the management of this crisis and there are scientific experts drafted into the latter committee because of the nature of this crisis. Whilst the final decision making is political, there is plenty of scientific advice provided.
But just being present doesn't mean that's what they are doing or even trying to do. I think they probably were there to listen to the arguments. The problem is that the reporting of the arguments by them to government, or at least the PM, may then have been slanted by their political aims. And unfortunately we have people in charge who are more likely to listen to them than scientific mainstream.canta_brian wrote:I think the issue is that if government policy is to”be led by the science” there should not be a political adviser contributing to sage. By all means take the scientific advice from sage and make political decisions based on (including ignoring) that advice, but don’t try and inject the policy into the advice in the first place.Sandydragon wrote:And just to follow up on my last post, SAGE is reporting into COBRA for the management of this crisis and there are scientific experts drafted into the latter committee because of the nature of this crisis. Whilst the final decision making is political, there is plenty of scientific advice provided.