Brexit delayed

[welshsaint]

Referenda are a poor way to decide issues. I would bet that no government would have a referendum on capital punishments. MP's are elected on a manifesto, if one doesn't like a particular party, there will be one closer to their point of view. Both Labour and Tories failed us in spectacular fashion, but we can vote them out.

[canta_brian]

Also just 'cause there are more 18 year olds eligible to vote doesn't mean they will. Had the 18-24 year olds bothered to vote in the referendum we wouldn't have had this problem to begin with., but seemingly taking a short stroll to a polling station is too much for the absurdly lazy toerags

Sort of. Apparently a lot of students were told to change their voter registration to the constituency they study in, but not how long registering to make a postal vote would take with the referendum being 3 days after the end of term. So their walk to a polling station may well have been somewhat longer than you are trying to make out.

[Digby]

Also just 'cause there are more 18 year olds eligible to vote doesn't mean they will. Had the 18-24 year olds bothered to vote in the referendum we wouldn't have had this problem to begin with., but seemingly taking a short stroll to a polling station is too much for the absurdly lazy toerags

Sort of. Apparently a lot of students were told to change their voter registration to the constituency they study in, but not how long registering to make a postal vote would take with the referendum being 3 days after the end of term. So their walk to a polling station may well have been somewhat longer than you are trying to make out.

Any university student incapable of working this out is demonstrably wasting their time at a university

[canta_brian]

Also just 'cause there are more 18 year olds eligible to vote doesn't mean they will. Had the 18-24 year olds bothered to vote in the referendum we wouldn't have had this problem to begin with., but seemingly taking a short stroll to a polling station is too much for the absurdly lazy toerags

Sort of. Apparently a lot of students were told to change their voter registration to the constituency they study in, but not how long registering to make a postal vote would take with the referendum being 3 days after the end of term. So their walk to a polling station may well have been somewhat longer than you are trying to make out.

Any university student incapable of working this out is demonstrably wasting their time at a university

I knew you would come back with something like that. I remember a bloke a bit like you who knew everything and never made a mistake when he was a student. Only thing he lacked was friends.

[Digby]

Sort of. Apparently a lot of students were told to change their voter registration to the constituency they study in, but not how long registering to make a postal vote would take with the referendum being 3 days after the end of term. So their walk to a polling station may well have been somewhat longer than you are trying to make out.

Any university student incapable of working this out is demonstrably wasting their time at a university

I knew you would come back with something like that. I remember a bloke a bit like you who knew everything and never made a mistake when he was a student. Only thing he lacked was friends.

I've made a huge number of mistakes, but thankfully do have friends.

Moving past those confused by voter registration most people don't go to Uni, and most who do don't stay for post graduate studies. So the 18-24 year grouping being discussed can't have been that limited by any poor advice received

[canta_brian]

Indeed, moving past students and the 18-24 group for now. The issue is the direction of change. The young were more in favour of remain. The old, leave.

So as more young people have become eligible to vote the remain vote increases. As people die the leave vote decreases.

The so called mandate to leave is weak and fleeting bring based on a snapshot. Would it even exist now? Will it by the time we leave?

Frankly we are so much better informed as a nation now than we were when we went to the polls. If we now voted again and still chose leave I would have no problem as at least a decent proportion of the lies will have been debunked.

[fivepointer]

POlling doesnt suggest a 2nd referendum is a viable option - at this stage.

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index. ... eir-minds/

[canta_brian]

What do you mean by viable? I just think that now we have even the foggiest what brexit means might be a better time to poll the nation than when all we had was lies on the side of a bus.

[kk67]

What do you mean by viable? I just think that now we have even the foggiest what brexit means might be a better time to poll the nation than when all we had was lies on the side of a bus.

I think he means it's not viable amongst the self-interested groups that forced the vote with lying.

[Digby]

We did have a general election too post Brexit. Most votes went to parties who stood on a platform that Brexit means Brexit.

It all might be catastrophically stupid, but people are voting to be with stupid, and that's just how it is.

[Mellsblue]

Indeed, moving past students and the 18-24 group for now. The issue is the direction of change. The young were more in favour of remain. The old, leave.

So as more young people have become eligible to vote the remain vote increases. As people die the leave vote decreases.

The so called mandate to leave is weak and fleeting bring based on a snapshot. Would it even exist now? Will it by the time we leave?

Frankly we are so much better informed as a nation now than we were when we went to the polls. If we now voted again and still chose leave I would have no problem as at least a decent proportion of the lies will have been debunked.

So are you saying nobody will change their mind as they get older?
Any vote, at any time, about anything is a snapshot. What you’re not happy about is that you don’t like the result not what a referendum stands for. You’d be perfectly happy with that snapshot had it been a snapshot of a remain vote.
As for the lies. There were lies on both sides and if you ran it again there would be new lies on both sides.

[canta_brian]

Indeed, moving past students and the 18-24 group for now. The issue is the direction of change. The young were more in favour of remain. The old, leave.

So as more young people have become eligible to vote the remain vote increases. As people die the leave vote decreases.

The so called mandate to leave is weak and fleeting bring based on a snapshot. Would it even exist now? Will it by the time we leave?

Frankly we are so much better informed as a nation now than we were when we went to the polls. If we now voted again and still chose leave I would have no problem as at least a decent proportion of the lies will have been debunked.

So are you saying nobody will change their mind as they get older?
Any vote, at any time, about anything is a snapshot. What you’re not happy about is that you don’t like the result not what a referendum stands for. You’d be perfectly happy with that snapshot had it been a snapshot of a remain vote.
As for the lies. There were lies on both sides and if you ran it again there would be new lies on both sides.

I'd like to think that in 10 years time I won't have become a bigot. But if that's not for you, then each to their own I guess

[Mellsblue]

Indeed, moving past students and the 18-24 group for now. The issue is the direction of change. The young were more in favour of remain. The old, leave.

So as more young people have become eligible to vote the remain vote increases. As people die the leave vote decreases.

The so called mandate to leave is weak and fleeting bring based on a snapshot. Would it even exist now? Will it by the time we leave?

Frankly we are so much better informed as a nation now than we were when we went to the polls. If we now voted again and still chose leave I would have no problem as at least a decent proportion of the lies will have been debunked.

So are you saying nobody will change their mind as they get older?
Any vote, at any time, about anything is a snapshot. What you’re not happy about is that you don’t like the result not what a referendum stands for. You’d be perfectly happy with that snapshot had it been a snapshot of a remain vote.
As for the lies. There were lies on both sides and if you ran it again there would be new lies on both sides.

I'd like to think that in 10 years time I won't have become a bigot. But if that's not for you, then each to their own I guess

A very rational response. So, everyone who voted for leave is a bigot. Even those who didn’t like the accounts that were never signed off, those who didn’t like the fact austerity was forced on the med countries whilst the EU increased their own budget, that hundreds of millions are spent on moving the parliament between Strasbourg and Brussels, that French farmers receive a disproportionate amount of the EU budget, that they feel the Euro is incompatible with each member country having their own fiscal policy, that the President of the European Commision is an avid federalist and they don’t think that is the correct way forward, that MEP expenses are so poorly policed and that EU pensions are so widely inflated above other comparable organisations etc etc. That nobody could rationally look at the EU and think that the country would be better off without it. I accept all of the above arguments as valid and still voted for Remain as on balance I think the pluses outweigh the minuses. I can also understand that people would weigh up the pluses and minuses and decide that the minuses won, rather than just saying all leavers are bigots and/or thick.
Did Diggers put you up to this?

[fivepointer]

What do you mean by viable? I just think that now we have even the foggiest what brexit means might be a better time to poll the nation than when all we had was lies on the side of a bus.

there isnt sufficient desire among the electorate for another referendum. The remainers have yet to convince enough people that leaving the EU would be an act of utter folly. To force a change a significant number of leavers would have to be convinced to change sides. Currently that isnt the case.

That may change. Things could get very sticky over the next 12 months as it becomes ever clearer just what we would be giving up. we still have time to change course and events may make that a possibility, particularly if Tory remainers really start to make a case and Labour get off the fence.

Accusing leavers of ignorance, stupidity and bigotry is not a sound idea. I was close to voting leave at one point but eventually went for remain as the leave option is fraught with grave risk. I've since become a very keen remainer, as i've heard nothing from the leave side that convinces me we will be better off in any way. Conversely every thing i've heard, seen or read since the vote convince me that leaving would be completely mad.

[Digby]

Still, there is hope. Grimsby which voted 70/30 to leave still has those seeking an exemption from any tariffs post leaving, and if Grimsby can have an exemption having voted to leave then surely those who voted remain would be in with a shout.

It's not of course as though everyone in Grimsby wants to remain, after the story came out about the seafood processing firms wanting (needing?) an exemption we had the fisherman rallying around a message of leave. The fisherman are more than a little fed up of their fishing quotas, and of course once we're free of the dastardly EU the fisherman will of course be free to fish as they wish in the new light touch regulation UK, and as we all know left to the fisherman fishing as they want all the fish stocks will magically recover.

[Digby]

So are you saying nobody will change their mind as they get older?
Any vote, at any time, about anything is a snapshot. What you’re not happy about is that you don’t like the result not what a referendum stands for. You’d be perfectly happy with that snapshot had it been a snapshot of a remain vote.
As for the lies. There were lies on both sides and if you ran it again there would be new lies on both sides.

I'd like to think that in 10 years time I won't have become a bigot. But if that's not for you, then each to their own I guess

A very rational response. So, everyone who voted for leave is a bigot. Even those who didn’t like the accounts that were never signed off, those who didn’t like the fact austerity was forced on the med countries whilst the EU increased their own budget, that hundreds of millions are spent on moving the parliament between Strasbourg and Brussels, that French farmers receive a disproportionate amount of the EU budget, that they feel the Euro is incompatible with each member country having their own fiscal policy, that the President of the European Commision is an avid federalist and they don’t think that is the correct way forward, that MEP expenses are so poorly policed and that EU pensions are so widely inflated above other comparable organisations etc etc. That nobody could rationally look at the EU and think that the country would be better off without it. I accept all of the above arguments as valid and still voted for Remain as on balance I think the pluses outweigh the minuses. I can also understand that people would weigh up the pluses and minuses and decide that the minuses won, rather than just saying all leavers are bigots and/or thick.
Did Diggers put you up to this?

All of those reasons and more are reasons why the EU infuriates, but it's not like UK politics gets everything right at local or national level, but there were chances for us to harry the EU into making improvements, and we never really moved on those opportunities. I'm more than happy to concede there are problems with the EU, but the key part remains that on balance it's nuts 'cause the benefits dramatically outweigh the concerns. And the leave voters are loons who far too often ignore the positives, or claim they can retain the positives.

Some in fairness voted out for reasons of sovereignty and they're fine with that even with it likely to cost the country X billions of pounds, and consequently lower tax receipts, and both of those are very likely to hurt many people who out of anger voted to leave. I can accept those who wanted out no matter what and are willing to pay the price, I'm rather less impressed with those who wanted out and claim we'll be better off, or now claim Grimsby port should remain Brexit exempt, that Cornwall or Sunderland should retain the same level of subsidy. Indeed for the first time in my life rather than looking at some struggling areas and thinking more should be done to encourage education and job creation on those areas I'm more in a camp of thinking feck 'em, they've brought the lower future growth on themselves, and we just have to hope it's only lower growth and not a contraction

[Mellsblue]

I'd like to think that in 10 years time I won't have become a bigot. But if that's not for you, then each to their own I guess

Did Diggers put you up to this?

All of those reasons and more are reasons why the EU infuriates, but it's not like UK politics gets everything right at local or national level, but there were chances for us to harry the EU into making improvements, and we never really moved on those opportunities. I'm more than happy to concede there are problems with the EU, but the key part remains that on balance it's nuts 'cause the benefits dramatically outweigh the concerns. And the leave voters are loons who far too often ignore the positives, or claim they can retain the positives.

Some in fairness voted out for reasons of sovereignty and they're fine with that even with it likely to cost the country X billions of pounds, and consequently lower tax receipts, and both of those are very likely to hurt many people who out of anger voted to leave. I can accept those who wanted out no matter what and are willing to pay the price, I'm rather less impressed with those who wanted out and claim we'll be better off, or now claim Grimsby port should remain Brexit exempt, that Cornwall or Sunderland should retain the same level of subsidy. Indeed for the first time in my life rather than looking at some struggling areas and thinking more should be done to encourage education and job creation on those areas I'm more in a camp of thinking feck 'em, they've brought the lower future growth on themselves, and we just have to hope it's only lower growth and not a contraction

I’ll take that as a yes

[Zhivago]

If we keep a tory government there will be a contraction, because there will be massive capital outflows, and this will create a supply shock, in the absence of state intervention.

[Digby]

What would Labour do to stop possible capital outflows? Obviously there's speculation around capital controls given the loons at the top of Labour, but I don't like to think they'd actually be that reckless

[Mellsblue]

What would Labour do to stop possible capital outflows? Obviously there's speculation around capital controls given the loons at the top of Labour, but I don't like to think they'd actually be that reckless

They’ve already wargamed it and admitted it’s a possibility.
Of course, for every £ you stop leaving you stop many times more € & $ entering.

[Digby]

What would Labour do to stop possible capital outflows? Obviously there's speculation around capital controls given the loons at the top of Labour, but I don't like to think they'd actually be that reckless

They’ve already wargamed it and admitted it’s a possibility.
Of course, for every £ you stop leaving you stop many times more € & $ entering.

Out of the single market and customers union, no restrictions around nationalising industries and now capital controls, Glorious Leader™ might be using up boxes of tissues fast enough to boost consumer spending and hold off a recession.

Still don't see them being that reckless

[Stones of granite]

What would Labour do to stop possible capital outflows? Obviously there's speculation around capital controls given the loons at the top of Labour, but I don't like to think they'd actually be that reckless

They’ve already wargamed it and admitted it’s a possibility.
Of course, for every £ you stop leaving you stop many times more € & $ entering.

Out of the single market and customers union, no restrictions around nationalising industries and now capital controls, Glorious Leader™ might be using up boxes of tissues fast enough to boost consumer spending and hold off a recession.

Still don't see them being that reckless

FFS, it would be like going back to the dark ages of the mid-70s.

[Mellsblue]

They’ve already wargamed it and admitted it’s a possibility.
Of course, for every £ you stop leaving you stop many times more € & $ entering.

Out of the single market and customers union, no restrictions around nationalising industries and now capital controls, Glorious Leader™ might be using up boxes of tissues fast enough to boost consumer spending and hold off a recession.

Still don't see them being that reckless

FFS, it would be like going back to the dark ages of the mid-70s.

I’m not wearing flares.

[Digby]

Out of the single market and customers union, no restrictions around nationalising industries and now capital controls, Glorious Leader™ might be using up boxes of tissues fast enough to boost consumer spending and hold off a recession.

Still don't see them being that reckless

FFS, it would be like going back to the dark ages of the mid-70s.

I’m not wearing flares.

With platform shoes I could stand as tall as George Ford, who was given a height of 5'10'' in the Times yesterday or maybe Wednesday, maybe Trump is right about fake news

[Zhivago]

What would Labour do to stop possible capital outflows? Obviously there's speculation around capital controls given the loons at the top of Labour, but I don't like to think they'd actually be that reckless

You have to have fiscal stimulus of course. Which is something the Tories are ideologically against.